Sometimes one has to be a realist. The economy, the environment, that continuing-to-narrow passageway of novels that make their way through committee, versus the success of many of my colleagues who are fearlessly paving the way onto digital. Not to mention the publishers who are reading the writing on the proverbial...if not physical...wall.
At RWA National a well-known and respected agent said that not much will change. The current best sellers will rise to the top of digital publishing, and that the majority of those trying to break in will remain mid-list or at the bottom.
But that's just it. As my critique partner is fond of saying, "Do they know, or do they think they know?"
Do our current gatekeepers really know what readers are craving? They claim their marketing departments have researched this thoroughly. Do they really have all the answers? I wouldn't bet my rapidly declining 401K on it ;)
On a larger scale, author and well-known blogger, J.A. Konrath makes some interesting predictions.
I ask you.... Do you know, or do you think you know?